Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.445378 0.596598 0.771061 0.984024 1.233810 1.514510 1.850775
2025-03-23 0.260962 0.446479 0.693366 1.030861 1.465584 1.993099 2.667808
2025-03-30 0.149341 0.336653 0.625726 1.064380 1.675768 2.463622 3.521249
2025-04-06 0.080191 0.250812 0.559689 1.077757 1.851923 2.900686 4.363718
2025-04-13 0.035800 0.174356 0.477817 1.043492 1.948171 3.231629 5.084205
2025-04-20 0.015778 0.129722 0.432146 1.051428 2.098991 3.640207 5.923484
2025-04-27 0.005904 0.097029 0.394685 1.061632 2.248100 4.049314 6.776740
2025-05-04 0.001098 0.064954 0.339862 1.024274 2.310813 4.329558 7.455783
2025-05-11 0.000028 0.041268 0.289481 0.980688 2.352904 4.574904 8.088422
2025-05-18 NaN 0.029159 0.265555 0.986489 2.478466 4.950992 8.919902
2025-05-25 NaN 0.017556 0.229540 0.953645 2.527120 5.204333 9.574634
2025-06-01 NaN 0.014230 0.229288 1.008873 2.744645 5.736118 10.658935
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008771 0.208055 1.005997 2.853319 6.101750 11.514637
2025-06-15 NaN 0.007701 0.216954 1.089134 3.139221 6.772046 12.854145
2025-06-22 NaN 0.005874 0.215904 1.143234 3.369784 7.357521 14.077348
2025-06-29 NaN 0.003785 0.205731 1.167529 3.540185 7.846659 15.162436
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001605 0.180358 1.136601 3.591229 8.132774 15.936952
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000763 0.168832 1.147778 3.731825 8.576275 16.966143
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000303 0.158545 1.160064 3.874419 9.025935 18.011944
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000028 0.136608 1.121114 3.898075 9.265061 18.726117
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.115375 1.075124 3.899656 9.462424 19.374975
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.107154 1.081497 4.023808 9.883837 20.392598
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.091561 1.046624 4.044850 10.116004 21.105076